Bitcoin Nears Breakout After US Job Data, 125 Bps Fed Rate Cuts This Year?
The US non-farm payroll data shows that 142,000 jobs have been added in August, down from what the market was expecting. Following this data, which indicates a cooling Labor market, the market is now betting over a half-point rate cut at the upcoming Federal Reserve’s meeting later this month. Besides, Bitcoin noted recovery after the US job data, indicating the regaining confidence of the investors towards risk-bet assets.
US Job Data Boosts Sentiment
According to the latest nonfarm payroll report by the Labor Department, the US added 142,000 jobs in August, down from the market expectations of 161,000. On the other hand, the US unemployment rate came in at 4.2%, in line with the market expectations.
Both these data appear to have boosted the market sentiment, as evidenced by the recent surge in BTC price. Having said that, several market watchers are anticipating a potential rally in the crypto market, with soaring bets over a potential Fed rate cut of 0.5%.
Meanwhile, the latest data also showed that the July employment numbers have been revised down by 25,000 from 114,000 to 89,000. Simultaneously, the June’s number was revised down by 61,000 from 179,000 to 118,000. Notably, the cooling non-farm payroll data with soaring unemployment likely boosted the traders’ sentiment, hinting at a possible dovish stance by the US Federal Reserve at their September meeting.
Bitcoin Eyes Breakout Amid Fed’s 125 bps Rate Cut Expectations
Following the release of the US job data, BTC price soared nearly 2% over the past hour to $56,877. Notably, the crypto has touched a low of $55,304.03 in the early US hours today, reflecting the cautious stance of the investors ahead of the key economic data.
The US 10-year dollar index fell 0.24% to 3.723 during writing, noting its lowest level since June 2023. On the other hand, the US Dollar index rose 0.03% to $101.110.
Meanwhile, bets over a 50 basis rate cut also increased following the US Job data. According to the CME FedWatch Tool data, there is a 47% odds of the US Federal Reserve announcing a 50 basis rate cut this month. In addition, the market is also betting on a Fed rate cut of 1.25% this year, especially after the recent nonfarm payroll data.
Having said that, many market enthusiasts anticipate a Bitcoin breakout. Although September has historically proved to be a weaker month for the crypto, the market seems to be regaining confidence due to the favoring macroeconomic developments.
However, it’s worth noting that some experts still remain bearish on the crypto’s price. For instance, recently Peter Brandt predicted a BTC price crash to $46,000 if the bear momentum continues. Despite the risks, a recent Bitcoin price analysis showed that if the crypto could break the $60,000 resistance, it could propel a rally to $62,400 soon.
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