The Ethereum price bounced from $2220 to $2550 in the last two weeks, registering a 15.3% growth. The bullish narrative largely followed the market speculation for the U.S Fed interest rate, replenishing investors’ interest in risky assets like cryptocurrency. But will the macroeconomic factor be enough to push ETH value past $4000?
Key Factors Holding Back Ethereum Price Surge to $4,000
This week, the cryptocurrency market accelerated the bullish momentum following the 0.5% rate cut by the U.S. Fed. The recuperated interest in risky assets has pushed the BTC and ETH prices along with major altcoins for trend reversal. However, the Ethereum price could struggle to drive a sustainable rally to $4000 due to the following reasons:
ETH/BTC Pair Hits 40-Month Low as Bitcoin ETF Flows Outperform
Ethereum Foundation’s Ongoing ETH Sales Fuel Bearish Sentiment
Rising ETH Supply on Exchanges Fuels Fears of Potential Sell-Off
ETH/BTC Pair Hits 40-Month Low as Bitcoin ETF Flows Outperform
According to IntoTheBlock analytics, the ETH/BTC pair recently dropped to a 40-month low, highlighting Ethereum’s underperformance compared to Bitcoin. While BTC ETF flows have mainly remained positive, ETH ETFs have seen significant outflows. This suggests that institutional investors favor Bitcoin’s relative stability over Ethereum’s higher volatility and risk-reward profile.
If the trend continues, the Ether coin could struggle to drive a high-momentum rally and experience prolonged consolidation.
ETH is trading at its lowest level against BTC in over 40 months
While ETF flows for $BTC have been largely positive, $ETH has experienced mostly outflows. This trend suggests institutional investors are favoring Bitcoin’s relative stability over ETH’s higher risk, high-reward… pic.twitter.com/Eie6CBZ3c4
— IntoTheBlock (@intotheblock) September 20, 2024
Ethereum Foundation’s Ongoing ETH Sales Fuel Bearish Sentiment
A notable factor contributing to ETH price volatility is the ongoing selling sphere from the Ethereum Foundation wallet. The Ethereum Foundation sold 300 ETH on Friday, approximately $763K, as per the Lookonchain data. Since January 1st, the Foundation has sold a total of 3,466 ETH( worth $9.67 Million) at an average price of $2,791.
On average, the Foundation executes a sale every 11 days, with an average sale size of 151 ETH ($421K). Typically, such large sales may signal a cautious outlook on future price movements, but the wallet associated with the Ethereum foundation adds fuel to the bearish sentiment.
The #Ethereum Foundation sold 300 $ETH($763K) again 4 hours ago!
Since Jan1, 2024, the #Ethereum Foundation has sold a total of 3,466 $ETH($9.67M) at an average price of $2,791, averaging one sale every 11 days, and averaging 151 $ETH($421K) for each sale.
Address:… pic.twitter.com/aAhaNNrT97
— Lookonchain (@lookonchain) September 20, 2024
Rising ETH Supply on Exchanges Fuels Fears of Potential Sell-Off
According to the Santiment analytics, the ETH supply on exchange has been steadily growing, reaching 21.46 million coins. A significant inflow into exchanges heightens the risk of potential selling, which can limit the asset’s growth potential.
Thus, the Ethereum price prediction could delay the $4000 rally if the current recovery witnessed profit booking from short-term holders.
ETH supply on exchange | Santiment
ETH Price 10% Away from Major Reversal or Breakout
By press time, the ETH price trades at $2,555 while boosting a market cap of $307.6 billion. If the broader market recovery persists, the coin price could surge another 10% before challenging the $2,800 barrier. This resistance and the 200-day exponential moving average created a suitable area for sellers to recuperate their bearish momentum.
If the overhead resistance stands firm, the Ethereum price will revert lower and re-challenge the $2,000 support.
ETH/USDT – 1d Chart
On the contrary, a bullish breakout from the $2800 line would strengthen the buyer’s grip over this asset and drive a $3,000 breakout.
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